Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/11147/12605
Title: Historical trends associated with annual temperature and precipitation in Aegean Turkey, where are we heading?
Authors: Mersin, Demirhan
Tayfur, Gökmen
Vaheddoost, Babak
Safari, Mir Jafar Sadegh
Keywords: Aegean region
Hydrometeorology
Precipitation
Temperature
Issue Date: Oct-2022
Publisher: MDPI
Abstract: The trend analysis of annual temperature (daily average) and total precipitation has been conducted for 14 stations located in the Aegean Region, Turkey. The Sen, Spearman’s rho, and Mann-Kendall test methods are used in the detection of the historical trends in the region. The Pettitt test is also implemented to find the significance of the trend, while the Theil-Sen approach is applied to detect the change point(s) in the time series. Findings of the following study indicate that both precipitation and temperature time series in the selected stations depict statistically significant trends with increasing nature. The rate of increase in precipitation and temperature by the Theil-Sen test is found to be 4.2–7.9 mm/year and 0.20–0.35 °C/decade, respectively. It is also found that the turn points of the temperature trends determined by the Pettitt test occurred in 1998 for all the stations. According to the results, the magnitude of the extreme events would change in the future, which may help in conceptualizing the framework and the resilience of the infrastructures against climate change.
URI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su142013380
https://hdl.handle.net/11147/12605
Appears in Collections:Civil Engineering / İnşaat Mühendisliği
Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / Scopus Indexed Publications Collection
WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / WoS Indexed Publications Collection

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